Second Wave of Covid 19 In India

Covid 19 Second Wave

What is Second Wave of Corona Virus?

Coronavirus pandemic started early in 2020, people even experts wondered if there would be waves of this coronavirus, or a pattern seen in other virus pandemics. The Second Wave has been increasing COVID-19 cases. Some of the locations have the highest number of infected cases and are increasing day by day.

The India and United States is the only country in the world which have reported 100,000 cases per day in the recent week. No other country had gone so far summing these many cases for two consecutive days.

When the second wave has hit India the coronavirus cases per day are increasing abruptly. On the 1st of February, India has reported around 11,427 covid-19 cases. In nearly 60 days the figure reached 70,000 on 1st April. However, this count went from 70,000 to over 300,000 in just 20 days. 

Reason Behind Sudden Peak in Corona virus Cases?

Humans are the major reason responsible. State government and local governments, also individuals are the reason behind this pandemic. Only some of the people are serious about the COVID- 19 precautions like physical distancing, wearing masks, washing hands frequently. While the other people are not as authoritarian in needing these measures or in limiting certain high-risk activities.

In nearby cities, towns and communities, public places are closed or practicing limitations like night curfew, weekends total lockdown; or some others are operating normally. Some government leaders also encourage people to wear masks and maintain physical distance in public areas. But some others say it is just a matter of personal choice.

However, the connection between these precautions and increasing cases of COVID-19 is clear: In areas where less people are wearing masks, do not maintain physical distance and gather more to eat, drink, religious practices, celebrate and socialize, even with their family, cases rising every single day.

Is COVID-19 Bad in Winter or in the Fall?

In the starting of the pandemic, some experts speculate: Will the COVID -19 go away in the summer? Unluckily, there is a spike during the hot summer months in India. made it clear that this is not the matter. Other respiratory problems, like colds and flu, are very common in the winter. Now that hot months are here, we are observing a substantial growth in COVID-19 across India. In winters there is a risk for further transmission of the virus.

Failed Prediction by IIT and ISI –

When the COVID 19 pandemic was extensive last year across India, the government had hired a committee of specialist from the Indian Institute of Technology and the Indian Statistical Institute. This committee predicted that the Covid-19 pandemic will come to an end in February 2021 in India due to herd immunity. 

What is Herd Immunity?

Herd immunity refers to the reality that, when adequate humankind in a faction has immunity from this disease, the nation is safe from disruption of the disease.

Experts say that about 70% of the citizens require to be immune to this coronavirus before herd immunity performs. Residents may be immune from the COVID-19 Virus, for a while. An extensively accessible, safe and efficacious vaccine may not be available for a longer time.

Experts say if we let the coronavirus spread openly between the public it will result in thousands of deaths and millions of people left with lung, heart, brain or kidney damage.

Researchers are presently trying to discover if, and for how long, citizens are immune from the coronavirus after recovering. If it is results out that immunity only lasts for some time, it is possible that people can get COVID-19 again, which turns out even more death.

Researchers also predicted using some of the mathematical models that the ruthless second wave will be at peak by mid of April and May, will end by May. 

Most of the Indian cities are reporting a continuous shortage of hospital beds and ventilators. Suffering and painful reports of people dying without getting treatment on time are coming from all over India.

Many state governments are trying their best in creating new facilities but doctors say it’s going to be very hard to keep up with the rate of the increasing count of coronavirus patients.

Most poorly -affected cities like Delhi, Mumbai and Ahmedabad have nearly run out of hospital beds and ventilators.

How to Calculate Peak of COVID19?

The Super model predicted by the experts has three vital variables to determine coronavirus pandemic. “The foremost variable is called Beta, or in an easy way we can call it contact rate, which calculates how many residents are infected everyday. It is linked to the R-naught value, which is the count of the infected person transmitting the virus.

The second variable is ‘Reach’, which calculates the exposure stage of the residents to Covid-19. 

 The third variable is ‘Epsilon’, fraction of traced and untraced coronavirus cases.

Many Doctors said that ‘Reach’ had to be commenced because of non-identical other pandemics that begin at a location and speedily spread, COVID-19 expanded slower because of some safety measures. ‘Epsilon’, on the other side, helps in the count of symptomless infections of covid 10 all over the country.

As now the spotted cases are isolated, we predict that there will be no longer transmission to new infections. So, an increasing count of per day new patients, reflects more unspotted infections. By calculating the number of new patients of coronavirus every day, we will try to predict the unspotted and symptomless infections.

Here’s are some precautions of what we can do now:

  1. Continue precautions like physical distancing, hand-washing and mask-wearing.
  2. Be in touch with local health authorities, who can offer guidelines if COVID-19 cases rise up in your city.
  3. Try to maintain two weeks home supplies like food and prescription medicines.
  4. Stay in touch with your doctor to make sure that everyone in your house get vaccine as fast as possible.

So, this was all the updates of Vicious Second Wave Coronavirus in India. Stay updated to our blog to get more information about Covid- 19 Test, Vaccine and many more. 

Also Read Covid-19 RT PCR Test | What is CT Value?

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